Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.003096 0.003244 0.003394 0.003560 0.003736 0.003919 0.004124
2025-04-20 0.002840 0.003061 0.003296 0.003564 0.003862 0.004186 0.004564
2025-04-27 0.002711 0.002980 0.003272 0.003617 0.004012 0.004455 0.004991
2025-05-04 0.002560 0.002856 0.003185 0.003581 0.004046 0.004580 0.005246
2025-05-11 0.002444 0.002761 0.003119 0.003558 0.004086 0.004705 0.005497
2025-05-18 0.002343 0.002675 0.003057 0.003533 0.004115 0.004813 0.005726
2025-05-25 0.002297 0.002652 0.003065 0.003588 0.004240 0.005038 0.006107
2025-06-01 0.002224 0.002590 0.003022 0.003576 0.004280 0.005156 0.006353
2025-06-08 0.002149 0.002522 0.002968 0.003548 0.004294 0.005238 0.006554
2025-06-15 0.002067 0.002443 0.002896 0.003492 0.004269 0.005267 0.006681
2025-06-22 0.001995 0.002374 0.002834 0.003446 0.004253 0.005304 0.006818
2025-06-29 0.001951 0.002337 0.002811 0.003448 0.004299 0.005423 0.007073
2025-07-06 0.001859 0.002237 0.002706 0.003339 0.004194 0.005337 0.007034
2025-07-13 0.001821 0.002205 0.002686 0.003343 0.004241 0.005458 0.007299
2025-07-20 0.001804 0.002200 0.002700 0.003392 0.004349 0.005668 0.007703
2025-07-27 0.001755 0.002152 0.002655 0.003359 0.004342 0.005715 0.007864
2025-08-03 0.001714 0.002112 0.002621 0.003338 0.004352 0.005783 0.008060
2025-08-10 0.001673 0.002072 0.002586 0.003315 0.004355 0.005843 0.008245
2025-08-17 0.001664 0.002072 0.002603 0.003365 0.004466 0.006063 0.008692
2025-08-24 0.001632 0.002042 0.002579 0.003355 0.004488 0.006151 0.008931
2025-08-31 0.001595 0.002005 0.002544 0.003329 0.004485 0.006201 0.009108
2025-09-07 0.001552 0.001957 0.002493 0.003278 0.004442 0.006187 0.009179
2025-09-14 0.001513 0.001914 0.002448 0.003235 0.004411 0.006189 0.009275